It can be frustrating when you head to your local McDonalds restaurant during the Monopoly promotion, peel back your game pieces, and find the same properties you’ve already collected many times over.
Of course, not everybody can win – otherwise McDonalds would soon be out of business. But what are the odds of winning, and how likely are you to bag one of the big prizes?
Let’s take a look.
What Are The Odds of Winning McDonalds Monopoly?
There were around 23 million prizes in McDonalds Monopoly Canada 2023, and there were around 109 million game pieces distributed. This means the odds of winning any prize were around 1 in 4.74.
Of course, the odds change massively when you start looking at the different prize options, because most of those 23 million prizes are either small instant wins, or food prizes. Plus a lot of the prizes didn’t get claimed.
Indeed, food prizes make up over 16 million of the prizes alone, meaning that you’ve got a 1 in 6.81 chance of winning any of the food items whenever you play McDonalds Monopoly.
There are over 5.6 million instant win prizes available, meaning you’ve got a 1 in 19.46 chance of claiming one of those prizes. Most of them are worth $100 or less though – there are just 3,576 prizes worth more than that amount, so the odds of winning a more valuable instant win prize drop to 1 in over 30,000.
And the smallest chance of winning is for the Collect and Win prizes, where you complete the full set. There are just 111 of these in total, so the odds of claiming one of these are pretty high – 1 in around 990,000.
McDonalds Monopoly Odds by Piece
Here is a full list of the Monopoly properties in the McDonalds Monopoly Canada 2023 promotion, and an approximation of the odds of finding one when you play:
|Property||Colour||Number of pieces||Odds of finding|
|Fairmount Le Chateau Frontenac||Dark Blue||6||1 in 18,166,667|
|Niagara Falls||Dark Blue||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Portage and Memorial||Green||4||1 in 27,250,000|
|Robson Street||Green||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Sainte-Catherine Street||Green||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Whistler||Yellow||30||1 in 3,633,333|
|Algonquin Provincial Park||Yellow||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Wapusk National Park||Yellow||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Confederation Bridge||Red||5||1 in 21,800,000|
|Baffin Island||Red||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Bay of Fundy||Red||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Tunnels of Moose Jaw||Orange||10||1 in 10,900,000|
|Signal Hill||Orange||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Peggys Cove||Orange||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Perce Rock||Pink||27||1 in 4,037,037|
|Miles Canyon||Pink||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Lunenburg Harbour||Pink||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Mackenzie River||Light Blue||4||1 in 27,250,000|
|Lake Louise||Light Blue||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Lake Athabasca||Light Blue||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Rideau Canal||Brown||10||1 in 10,900,000|
|Parliament Hill||Brown||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Vancouver Airport||Airports||15||1 in 7,266,667|
|Montreal Airport||Airports||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Toronto Airport||Airports||5,470,000||1 in 20|
|Halifax Airport||Airports||5,470,000||1 in 20|
Now you’ve got an understanding of just how rare some of the best game pieces are…but also, the actual odds of winning a smaller prize, including food, aren’t that bad at all.
And hey, someone has to find the rarest pieces, right? Why couldn’t it be you?
The game may already be over but when the promotion returns, you’ll now know what chances you have.